The
huge national government budget deficit has been a major cause of
the low pace of the country’s growth in recent years. Government
did not have enough funds to finance key projects. With the expanded
value added tax, this will soon be solved. In just two years or
by 2008, there will no longer be a deficit.
When
there is such a deficit, government has to borrow and in so doing
it competes with the private sector. This has the effect of increasing
interest rates, thus adding to inflation because the cost of production
goes up.
With
a balanced budget, the government does not have to borrow.
An
important point, however, is for government to continue funding
its development projects such as in infrastructure, health and education.
Low
government spending due to a desire to achieve a balanced budget
can reduce the rate at which our economy grows.
Hence,
there is a need to balance the desire to reduce the deficit and
the need for government projects so that the economic growth targets
are met. The ideal target is for the economy to grow at 7 percent
annually.
If
it grows at only 5.5 percent this year, then more spending is needed
next year. If this is done, then a balanced budget may not be achieved
in 2008.
This
depends on how well the revenue targets are achieved. So far, the
national government is right on track with VAT collections exceeding
the target for the first nine months of the year.
It
looks like reducing the deficit and achieving a balanced budget
is a realistic target.